$5 MONOPOLY™ SECRET VAULT
#1567
$5 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 38
61%
Return to Player
91%
Maturity
0/6
Top Prizes Left
1 in 34
Current Odds
38,868,000
Total Tickets
35,412,759 (91.1%)
Tickets Sold
20%
Depletion Rate
—
Jackpot 30d
61%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
The $5 MONOPOLY™ SECRET VAULT has an average expected value of 61% and fair health score. Top prizes are mostly remaining with 6 of 6 unredeemed, and the game is still active with a predicted end date of 2026-10-27.
Confidence: Medium
(91.1% sold through, maturity data available)
Tickets Status
38,868,000 total
Prize Distribution
12 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 61%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 6,477,970 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 259,119 | 150 | 17 | 133 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 13,265 | 2,930 | 195 | 2,735 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 2,035 | 19,102 | 1,139 | 17,963 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 959 | 40,519 | 2,461 | 38,058 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 240 | 161,903 | 10,758 | 151,145 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 267 | 145,743 | 10,807 | 134,936 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 218 | 178,102 | 11,271 | 166,831 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 171 | 226,702 | 15,272 | 211,430 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 60 | 647,797 | 47,535 | 600,262 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 9 | 4,534,669 | 405,616 | 4,129,053 |
|
| $5 | 1 in 10 | 3,886,882 | 370,074 | 3,516,808 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 38,868,000 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 3.00 |
| Effective Date | Jul 1, 2024 |
Recommendations
Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 61% < 70% — near retirement; End-of-life: maturity 91.1% with 0 top prizes remaining
Optimal Buy Window:
41.5% - 85.6% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.6098), which positively contributes 61.0 points. The second driver is health_score (contribution: 11.3). Analysis is based on a $5 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.610 | +61.0 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Health Score | 37.800 | +11.3 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Implied Rtp | 0.610 | +8.8 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Maturity Stage | 0.911 | +1.8 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.410 | +0.5 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.000 | +0.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $5 Price Bucket
0.746
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.911
This Game's Maturity
0.75 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.654
Median: 0.854
Q3: 0.921
Skew: -1.34
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 0.0 | -77.2 | 77.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 15.0 | -24.8 | 54.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 7.0 | -35.4 | 49.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 22.0 | -35.1 | 79.0 | ±57.0 | 200 |