THE PRICE IS RIGHT
#1518
$5 Ticket
Active
Good
Health: 57
74.3%
Return to Player
60%
Maturity
4/8
Top Prizes Left
1 in 8
Current Odds
24,064,191
Total Tickets
14,839,889 (61.7%)
Tickets Sold
—
Depletion Rate
40%
Jackpot 30d
74.3%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
THE PRICE IS RIGHT $5 scratch-off has an average expected value of 74%, above-average health, and a notable hidden gem score. Top prizes are limited with 4 of 8 remaining. Optimal buy window is active with a 40% jackpot probability.
Confidence: Medium
(14 days of snapshot history)
Tickets Status
24,064,191 total
Prize Distribution
14 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 74.3%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 2,864,910 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
|
| $50,000 | 1 in 572,982 | 40 | 17 | 23 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 254,659 | 90 | 37 | 53 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 40,637 | 564 | 210 | 354 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 13,240 | 1,731 | 680 | 1,051 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 2,493 | 9,192 | 3,546 | 5,646 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 2,005 | 11,432 | 4,398 | 7,034 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 324 | 70,719 | 27,315 | 43,404 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 280 | 81,712 | 31,650 | 50,062 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 333 | 68,725 | 26,615 | 42,110 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 173 | 132,462 | 51,168 | 81,294 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 60 | 382,043 | 148,485 | 233,558 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 9 | 2,673,799 | 1,059,545 | 1,614,254 |
|
| $5 | 1 in 10 | 2,292,135 | 942,709 | 1,349,426 |
|
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
41.5% - 85.6% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.7431), which positively contributes 74.3 points. The second driver is jackpot_prob_30d (contribution: 20.0). Analysis is based on a $5 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.743 | +74.3 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.400 | +20.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Implied Rtp | 0.743 | +19.4 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 57.000 | +17.1 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.599 | +8.0 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.980 | +0.6 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $5 Price Bucket
0.746
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.599
This Game's Maturity
-0.67 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.654
Median: 0.854
Q3: 0.921
Skew: -1.34
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 10.0 | -67.2 | 87.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 48.0 | 8.2 | 87.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 33.0 | -9.4 | 75.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 48.6 | -8.4 | 105.7 | ±57.0 | 200 |