$20 MONOPOLY™ SECRET VAULT
#1569
$20 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 37
66.3%
Return to Player
97%
Maturity
0/4
Top Prizes Left
1 in 69
Current Odds
22,272,000
Total Tickets
21,635,114 (97.1%)
Tickets Sold
30%
Depletion Rate
—
Jackpot 30d
66.3%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
The $20 MONOPOLY SECRET VAULT has an above-average expected value of 66.3% and fair health score of 37.2/100, with 97.1% ticket sales through. Remaining top prizes are depleted, reducing long-term value, but current EV suggests potential for good returns.
Confidence: Medium
(limited maturity data, snapshot history depth)
Tickets Status
22,272,000 total
Prize Distribution
13 tiers
RTP History (Last 90 Days)
Current: 66.3%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5,000,000 | 1 in 5,568,045 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
|
| $20,000 | 1 in 121,044 | 184 | 9 | 175 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 60,522 | 368 | 8 | 360 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 40,130 | 555 | 17 | 538 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 7,514 | 2,964 | 87 | 2,877 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 857 | 25,999 | 549 | 25,450 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 96 | 232,883 | 4,786 | 228,097 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 29 | 761,094 | 17,243 | 743,851 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 30 | 742,578 | 19,191 | 723,387 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 30 | 742,406 | 17,360 | 725,046 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 30 | 742,313 | 18,103 | 724,210 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 38 | 593,836 | 15,856 | 577,980 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 6 | 3,711,766 | 122,888 | 3,588,878 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 22,272,000 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 2.00 |
| Effective Date | Jul 1, 2024 |
Recommendations
Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 66.3% < 70% — near retirement; End-of-life: maturity 97.1% with 0 top prizes remaining; High-value ($20) game in wind-down (97.1% sold)
Optimal Buy Window:
46.1% - 77.8% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.6625), which positively contributes 66.2 points. The second driver is implied_rtp (contribution: 13.0). Analysis is based on a $20 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.663 | +66.3 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Implied Rtp | 0.663 | +13.0 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 37.100 | +11.1 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.971 | +0.6 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 1.950 | +0.4 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.000 | +0.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $20 Price Bucket
0.699
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.971
This Game's Maturity
1.72 σ
late vs bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.630
Median: 0.705
Q3: 0.804
Skew: -0.31
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 0.0 | -77.2 | 77.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 22.0 | -17.8 | 61.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 11.0 | -31.4 | 53.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 32.5 | -24.5 | 89.5 | ±57.0 | 200 |