$2 MONOPOLY™ SECRET VAULT

#1566 $2 Ticket Active
Fair
Health: 41

63.2%

Return to Player

87%

Maturity

2/8

Top Prizes Left

1 in 26

Current Odds

27,905,400

Total Tickets

24,188,361 (86.7%)

Tickets Sold

20%

Depletion Rate

20%

Jackpot 30d

63.2%

Implied RTP

AI Game Summary Oct 14, 2026

The $2 MONOPOLY Secret Vault has good expected value at 63.2% and fair health score, with 2 of 8 top prizes remaining. It has moderate hidden gem score and above-average implied RTP. Buy signal: maybe; key risk: low remaining top prizes; key opportunity: above-average EV.

Confidence: Medium (86.7% sold through, 30-day jackpot probability 20%)
Tickets Status 27,905,400 total
Prize Distribution 12 tiers
RTP History (Last 90 Days) Current: 63.2%
Prize Tier Details View Predictions
Prize Odds Total Remaining Claimed Progress
$100,000 1 in 3,488,081 8 2 6
75%
$2,500 1 in 178,876 156 16 140
89.7%
$1,000 1 in 35,729 781 86 695
89%
$200 1 in 2,857 9,766 914 8,852
90.6%
$100 1 in 856 32,586 3,171 29,415
90.3%
$50 1 in 414 67,480 6,579 60,901
90.3%
$25 1 in 238 117,024 11,780 105,244
89.9%
$20 1 in 150 186,031 22,157 163,874
88.1%
$10 1 in 50 558,093 68,410 489,683
87.7%
$5 1 in 75 372,062 43,051 329,011
88.4%
$4 1 in 14 2,046,185 259,886 1,786,299
87.3%
$2 1 in 9 2,976,157 431,952 2,544,205
85.5%
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
Total Tickets 27,905,400
Launch Odds 1 in 4.00
Effective Date Jul 1, 2024
Recommendations Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 63.2% < 70% — near retirement
Optimal Buy Window: 40.9% - 79.2% sell-through (best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?

The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.6316), which positively contributes 63.2 points. The second driver is health_score (contribution: 12.2). Analysis is based on a $2 ticket price.

Factor Current Value Contribution What it measures
Ev 0.632 +63.2 Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score
Health Score 40.800 +12.2 Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality)
Implied Rtp 0.632 +10.6 Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven
Jackpot Prob 30d 0.200 +10.0 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed
Maturity Stage 0.867 +2.7 Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy
Prize Quality 2.770 +0.6 Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers
Overdue Jackpot 0.000 +0.0 Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims)
vs. $2 Price Bucket
0.697
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.867
This Game's Maturity
0.89 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.652 Median: 0.784 Q3: 0.840 Skew: -1.10
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
Model Predicted 95% CI Lower 95% CI Upper Margin (±) Sample Size
Kelly 3.0 -74.2 80.2 ±77.2 200
Sharpe 18.0 -21.8 57.8 ±39.8 200
Bayesian 11.0 -31.4 53.4 ±42.4 200
Markov 0.0 -99.9 99.9 ±99.9 200
Ev 26.3 -30.7 83.4 ±57.0 200