LUCKY NUMBERS
#1524
$5 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 41
66.9%
Return to Player
90%
Maturity
2/16
Top Prizes Left
1 in 30
Current Odds
23,496,921
Total Tickets
21,196,678 (90.2%)
Tickets Sold
10%
Depletion Rate
20%
Jackpot 30d
66.9%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
LUCKY NUMBERS at $5 has good expected value (66.9%) and fair health score (40.8/100). 2 of 16 top prizes remain, with a 20% jackpot probability. DATA: {"buy_signal":"maybe","key_risk":"fair health score","key_opportunity":"above-average EV"} CONFIDENCE: medium (14 days of snapshot history)
Confidence: Medium
(14 days of snapshot history)
Tickets Status
23,496,921 total
Prize Distribution
12 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 66.9%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | 1 in 1,398,529 | 16 | 2 | 14 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 123,627 | 181 | 20 | 161 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 24,087 | 929 | 78 | 851 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 17,346 | 1,290 | 111 | 1,179 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 8,590 | 2,605 | 220 | 2,385 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 286 | 78,309 | 6,666 | 71,643 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 572 | 39,152 | 3,314 | 35,838 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 160 | 139,959 | 12,334 | 127,625 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 160 | 139,953 | 12,183 | 127,770 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 60 | 372,941 | 33,276 | 339,665 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 10 | 2,237,499 | 210,293 | 2,027,206 |
|
| $5 | 1 in 9 | 2,610,769 | 297,042 | 2,313,727 |
|
Recommendations
Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 66.9% < 70% — near retirement
Optimal Buy Window:
41.5% - 85.6% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.6691), which positively contributes 66.9 points. The second driver is implied_rtp (contribution: 13.5). Analysis is based on a $5 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.669 | +66.9 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Implied Rtp | 0.669 | +13.5 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 40.800 | +12.2 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.200 | +10.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Maturity Stage | 0.898 | +2.1 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.670 | +0.5 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $5 Price Bucket
0.746
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.898
This Game's Maturity
0.69 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.654
Median: 0.854
Q3: 0.921
Skew: -1.34
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 3.0 | -74.2 | 80.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 23.0 | -16.8 | 62.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 14.0 | -28.4 | 56.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 33.8 | -23.2 | 90.9 | ±57.0 | 200 |