HAPPY NEW YEAR 2026
#1615
$2 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 43
61.8%
Return to Player
80%
Maturity
1/6
Top Prizes Left
1 in 18
Current Odds
12,236,400
Total Tickets
9,830,050 (80.3%)
Tickets Sold
10%
Depletion Rate
10%
Jackpot 30d
61.8%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
HAPPY NEW YEAR 2026 has an average expected value of 62%, which is good, and a moderate health score of 43. It has 1 of 6 top prizes remaining with a 10% jackpot probability. The optimal buy window is active with a predicted end date soon.
Confidence: Medium
(14 days of snapshot history)
Tickets Status
12,236,400 total
Prize Distribution
13 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 61.8%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50,000 | 1 in 2,039,275 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 1,019,638 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 29,698 | 412 | 58 | 354 |
|
| $400 | 1 in 7,511 | 1,629 | 240 | 1,389 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 901 | 13,577 | 1,887 | 11,690 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 749 | 16,334 | 2,431 | 13,903 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 300 | 40,763 | 6,125 | 34,638 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 300 | 40,786 | 6,909 | 33,877 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 150 | 81,571 | 13,501 | 68,070 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 50 | 244,713 | 42,128 | 202,585 |
|
| $5 | 1 in 75 | 163,118 | 29,303 | 133,815 |
|
| $4 | 1 in 13 | 978,833 | 186,201 | 792,632 |
|
| $2 | 1 in 10 | 1,223,630 | 262,907 | 960,723 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 12,236,400 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 4.00 |
| Effective Date | Dec 8, 2025 |
Recommendations
Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 61.8% < 70% — near retirement
Optimal Buy Window:
40.9% - 79.2% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.6181), which positively contributes 61.8 points. The second driver is health_score (contribution: 12.8). Analysis is based on a $2 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.618 | +61.8 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Health Score | 42.800 | +12.8 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Implied Rtp | 0.618 | +9.4 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.100 | +5.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Maturity Stage | 0.803 | +3.9 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.700 | +0.5 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $2 Price Bucket
0.697
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.803
This Game's Maturity
0.56 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.652
Median: 0.784
Q3: 0.840
Skew: -1.10
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 1.0 | -76.2 | 78.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 16.0 | -23.8 | 55.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 9.0 | -33.4 | 51.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 23.6 | -33.4 | 80.7 | ±57.0 | 200 |