$15MM DIAMOND SPECTACULAR
#1608
$30 Ticket
Active
Good
Health: 55
74.9%
Return to Player
65%
Maturity
0/2
Top Prizes Left
1 in 5
Current Odds
19,461,600
Total Tickets
12,603,356 (64.8%)
Tickets Sold
20%
Depletion Rate
—
Jackpot 30d
74.9%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
$15MM Diamond Spectacular has a solid 75% EV and fair health score, but top prizes are nearly depleted. Optimal buy window closed, so skip unless willing to chase remaining lower-tier prizes.
Confidence: Medium
(limited data history, no recent alerts)
Tickets Status
19,461,600 total
Prize Distribution
13 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 74.9%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15,000,000 | 1 in 9,731,025 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 4,865,513 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
| $100,000 | 1 in 1,621,838 | 12 | 4 | 8 |
|
| $20,000 | 1 in 324,368 | 60 | 21 | 39 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 60,629 | 321 | 118 | 203 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 20,189 | 964 | 354 | 610 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 1,201 | 16,205 | 5,972 | 10,233 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 150 | 129,706 | 45,409 | 84,297 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 120 | 162,087 | 56,829 | 105,258 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 30 | 648,935 | 227,606 | 421,329 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 15 | 1,297,657 | 456,390 | 841,267 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 10 | 1,946,205 | 684,815 | 1,261,390 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 6 | 3,243,356 | 1,146,269 | 2,097,087 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 19,461,600 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 2.00 |
| Effective Date | Sep 22, 2025 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
36.8% - 83.9% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.7493), which positively contributes 74.9 points. The second driver is implied_rtp (contribution: 19.9). Analysis is based on a $30 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.749 | +74.9 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Implied Rtp | 0.749 | +19.9 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 55.200 | +16.6 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.648 | +7.1 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 1.960 | +0.4 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.000 | +0.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $30 Price Bucket
0.721
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.648
This Game's Maturity
—
Z-Score vs Bucket
Median: 0.896
Skew: -0.71
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 0.0 | -77.2 | 77.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 49.0 | 9.2 | 88.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 24.0 | -18.4 | 66.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 49.9 | -7.2 | 106.9 | ±57.0 | 200 |