$5M CROSSWORD CASH
#1539
$20 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 40
67.6%
Return to Player
90%
Maturity
0/6
Top Prizes Left
1 in 19
Current Odds
24,145,209
Total Tickets
21,620,252 (89.5%)
Tickets Sold
50%
Depletion Rate
—
Jackpot 30d
67.6%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
$5M CROSSWORD CASH offers an average expected value of 68%, indicating good value, with a fair health score of 40.3/100 and low top prize remaining count at 0 of 6.
Confidence: Low
(missing maturity and peer rank data)
Tickets Status
24,145,209 total
Prize Distribution
13 tiers
RTP History (Last 90 Days)
Current: 67.6%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5,000,000 | 1 in 4,018,135 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 1,339,378 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
|
| $100,000 | 1 in 1,339,378 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 2,493 | 9,672 | 1,002 | 8,670 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 3,238 | 7,445 | 659 | 6,786 |
|
| $250 | 1 in 1,494 | 16,135 | 1,424 | 14,711 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 414 | 58,248 | 5,292 | 52,956 |
|
| $150 | 1 in 297 | 81,297 | 7,335 | 73,962 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 26 | 913,942 | 83,939 | 830,003 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 30 | 803,627 | 75,790 | 727,837 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 30 | 803,718 | 75,106 | 728,612 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 15 | 1,607,560 | 158,296 | 1,449,264 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 6 | 4,017,771 | 463,302 | 3,554,469 |
|
Recommendations
Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 67.6% < 70% — near retirement; End-of-life: maturity 89.5% with 0 top prizes remaining; High-value ($20) game in wind-down (89.5% sold)
Optimal Buy Window:
46.1% - 77.8% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.6762), which positively contributes 67.6 points. The second driver is implied_rtp (contribution: 14.1). Analysis is based on a $20 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.676 | +67.6 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Implied Rtp | 0.676 | +14.1 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 40.400 | +12.1 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.895 | +2.1 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 1.960 | +0.4 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.000 | +0.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $20 Price Bucket
0.699
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.895
This Game's Maturity
1.24 σ
late vs bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.630
Median: 0.705
Q3: 0.804
Skew: -0.31
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 0.0 | -77.2 | 77.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 24.0 | -15.8 | 63.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 12.0 | -30.4 | 54.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 35.2 | -21.8 | 92.3 | ±57.0 | 200 |