$500,000 CASH BLOWOUT!
#1604
$50 Ticket
Active
Good
Health: 60
78.9%
Return to Player
58%
Maturity
46/100
Top Prizes Left
1 in 8
Current Odds
26,485,200
Total Tickets
15,248,247 (57.6%)
Tickets Sold
20%
Depletion Rate
100%
Jackpot 30d
78.9%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
The $500,000 CASH BLOWOUT! game shows strong performance with 79% EV and good health score. Top prizes remain plentiful, and the implied RTP suggests solid value. Optimal buy window is closed, but hidden gems exist.
Confidence: Medium
(limited snapshot history)
Tickets Status
26,485,200 total
Prize Distribution
6 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 78.9%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | 1 in 264,853 | 100 | 46 | 54 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 3,751 | 7,061 | 3,062 | 3,999 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 600 | 44,143 | 19,472 | 24,671 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 60 | 441,817 | 187,366 | 254,451 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 30 | 882,698 | 374,301 | 508,397 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 5 | 5,120,278 | 2,171,871 | 2,948,407 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 26,485,200 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 4.00 |
| Effective Date | Aug 11, 2025 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
10.8% - 58.8% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.7894), which positively contributes 78.9 points. The second driver is jackpot_prob_30d (contribution: 50.0). Analysis is based on a $50 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.789 | +78.9 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 1.000 | +50.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Implied Rtp | 0.789 | +23.1 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 59.900 | +18.0 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.576 | +8.5 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 3.220 | +0.6 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $50 Price Bucket
0.468
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.576
This Game's Maturity
—
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.328
Median: 0.458
Q3: 0.598
Skew: 0.11
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.0 | -48.2 | 106.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 57.0 | 17.2 | 96.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 57.0 | 14.6 | 99.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 57.9 | 0.8 | 114.9 | ±57.0 | 200 |