BONUS BLOWOUT
#1626
$5 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 43
70.4%
Return to Player
88%
Maturity
708/6,116
Top Prizes Left
1 in 75
Current Odds
18,360,000
Total Tickets
16,196,618 (88.2%)
Tickets Sold
90%
Depletion Rate
100%
Jackpot 30d
70.3%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
BONUS BLOWOUT offers an average expected value of 70.3% with fair health score, currently 88.1% sold through with 710 top prizes remaining out of 6116. The game has a 100% jackpot probability and implied RTP of 7032.4%, with an optimal buy window of 0.4154 to 0.8559.
Confidence: Medium
(14 days of snapshot history)
Tickets Status
18,360,000 total
Prize Distribution
4 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 70.4%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500 | 1 in 3,002 | 6,116 | 708 | 5,408 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 189 | 97,116 | 11,264 | 85,852 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 60 | 306,000 | 35,864 | 270,136 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 13 | 1,468,665 | 173,439 | 1,295,226 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 18,360,000 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 9.00 |
| Effective Date | Feb 23, 2026 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
41.5% - 85.6% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.7035), which positively contributes 70.3 points. The second driver is jackpot_prob_30d (contribution: 50.0). Analysis is based on a $5 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.704 | +70.4 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 1.000 | +50.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Implied Rtp | 0.703 | +16.2 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 42.900 | +12.9 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.882 | +2.4 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 6.880 | +1.4 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $5 Price Bucket
0.746
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.882
This Game's Maturity
0.62 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.654
Median: 0.854
Q3: 0.921
Skew: -1.34
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 20.0 | -57.2 | 97.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 28.0 | -11.8 | 67.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 34.0 | -8.4 | 76.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 40.7 | -16.3 | 97.7 | ±57.0 | 200 |