AMERICA 250 FLORIDA
#1635
$5 Ticket
Active
Good
Health: 62
71.1%
Return to Player
43%
Maturity
2/4
Top Prizes Left
1 in 6
Current Odds
16,173,600
Total Tickets
6,940,632 (42.9%)
Tickets Sold
10%
Depletion Rate
20%
Jackpot 30d
71.1%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
America 250 FLORIDA at $5 offers above-average expected value of 71% and fair health score. Top prizes remain at 2 of 4 with notable hidden gem score.
Confidence: Medium
(42.8% sold through, 42 days until maturity)
Tickets Status
16,173,600 total
Prize Distribution
14 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 71.1%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 4,020,000 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 502,500 | 32 | 17 | 15 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 60,000 | 271 | 150 | 121 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 30,000 | 536 | 309 | 227 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 1,500 | 10,828 | 6,080 | 4,748 |
|
| $250 | 1 in 1,500 | 10,807 | 6,050 | 4,757 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 480 | 33,754 | 18,892 | 14,862 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 240 | 67,402 | 37,772 | 29,630 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 240 | 67,430 | 37,923 | 29,507 |
|
| $25 | 1 in 240 | 67,374 | 37,940 | 29,434 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 60 | 269,562 | 152,345 | 117,217 |
|
| $15 | 1 in 60 | 269,562 | 152,520 | 117,042 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 10 | 1,617,327 | 917,389 | 699,938 |
|
| $5 | 1 in 10 | 1,617,447 | 934,537 | 682,910 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 16,173,600 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 4.00 |
| Effective Date | Mar 3, 2026 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
41.5% - 85.6% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.7111), which positively contributes 71.1 points. The second driver is health_score (contribution: 18.7). Analysis is based on a $5 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.711 | +71.1 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Health Score | 62.300 | +18.7 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Implied Rtp | 0.711 | +16.9 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Maturity Stage | 0.429 | +11.4 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.200 | +10.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Prize Quality | 2.850 | +0.6 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $5 Price Bucket
0.746
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.429
This Game's Maturity
-1.44 σ
early vs bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.654
Median: 0.854
Q3: 0.921
Skew: -1.34
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 4.0 | -73.2 | 81.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 29.0 | -10.8 | 68.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 18.0 | -24.4 | 60.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 5.0 | -94.9 | 104.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 42.2 | -14.8 | 99.3 | ±57.0 | 200 |