500X THE CASH
#1627
$50 Ticket
Active
Good
Health: 67
80.7%
Return to Player
43%
Maturity
1/2
Top Prizes Left
1 in 6
Current Odds
27,970,800
Total Tickets
12,163,017 (43.5%)
Tickets Sold
20%
Depletion Rate
10%
Jackpot 30d
80.7%
Implied RTP
70
Hidden Gem
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
500X THE CASH at $50 has strong expected value (80.7%) and good health score (66.6/100), but top prizes are scarce with only 1 of 2 remaining. The game shows solid 30-day jackpot probability (10%) and implied RTP (8067.2%), with a high hidden gem score (70/100).
Confidence: Medium
(missing exact current snapshot date, incomplete data for all metrics)
Tickets Status
27,970,800 total
Prize Distribution
9 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 80.7%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25,000,000 | 1 in 13,985,115 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 998,937 | 28 | 15 | 13 |
|
| $50,000 | 1 in 241,123 | 116 | 65 | 51 |
|
| $20,000 | 1 in 20,022 | 1,397 | 806 | 591 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 20,166 | 1,387 | 803 | 584 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 9,289 | 3,011 | 1,731 | 1,280 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 2,068 | 13,524 | 7,942 | 5,582 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 39 | 726,353 | 412,064 | 314,289 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 5 | 6,153,607 | 3,475,804 | 2,677,803 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 27,970,800 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 4.00 |
| Effective Date | Feb 23, 2026 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
10.8% - 58.8% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.8067), which positively contributes 80.7 points. The second driver is implied_rtp (contribution: 24.6). Analysis is based on a $50 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.807 | +80.7 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Implied Rtp | 0.807 | +24.6 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 66.500 | +20.0 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.435 | +11.3 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.100 | +5.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Prize Quality | 3.270 | +0.7 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $50 Price Bucket
0.468
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.435
This Game's Maturity
—
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.328
Median: 0.458
Q3: 0.598
Skew: 0.11
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 3.0 | -74.2 | 80.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 42.0 | 2.2 | 81.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 24.0 | -18.4 | 66.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 16.0 | -83.9 | 115.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 61.3 | 4.3 | 118.4 | ±57.0 | 200 |