200X THE CASH
#1623
$20 Ticket
Active
Good
Health: 64
77.6%
Return to Player
45%
Maturity
4/8
Top Prizes Left
1 in 4
Current Odds
21,108,000
Total Tickets
-2,426,176 (-11.5%)
Tickets Sold
20%
Depletion Rate
40%
Jackpot 30d
156%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
The 200X THE CASH game offers good expected value at 77.6% of ticket price and fair health score, but top prizes are nearly depleted. Consider purchasing soon due to declining top prize count.
Confidence: Medium
(44.5% sold through, 30-day jackpot probability 40%)
Tickets Status
21,108,000 total
Prize Distribution
14 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 77.6%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5,000,000 | 1 in 5,276,993 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
|
| $100,000 | 1 in 2,110,797 | 20 | 11 | 9 |
|
| $20,000 | 1 in 527,699 | 80 | 45 | 35 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 59,627 | 706 | 400 | 306 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 30,328 | 1,393 | 781 | 612 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 7,986 | 5,321 | 3,012 | 2,309 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 300 | 141,374 | 78,302 | 63,072 |
|
| $300 | 1 in 240 | 176,691 | 98,028 | 78,663 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 120 | 352,943 | 195,063 | 157,880 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 120 | 353,222 | 196,104 | 157,118 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 30 | 1,412,523 | 782,074 | 630,449 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 30 | 1,413,019 | 782,615 | 630,404 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 13 | 3,390,259 | 1,875,121 | 1,515,138 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 6 | 7,061,220 | 3,921,864 | 3,139,356 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 21,108,000 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 2.00 |
| Effective Date | Jan 12, 2026 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
46.1% - 77.8% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is implied_rtp (value: 1.56), which positively contributes 84.8 points. The second driver is ev (contribution: 77.6). Analysis is based on a $20 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied Rtp | 1.560 | +84.8 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Ev | 0.776 | +77.6 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.400 | +20.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Health Score | 63.700 | +19.1 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Maturity Stage | 0.446 | +11.1 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.300 | +0.5 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $20 Price Bucket
0.699
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.446
This Game's Maturity
-1.60 σ
early vs bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.630
Median: 0.705
Q3: 0.804
Skew: -0.31
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 42.0 | -35.2 | 119.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 100.0 | 60.2 | 139.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 100.0 | 57.6 | 142.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 100.0 | 43.0 | 157.0 | ±57.0 | 200 |