ULTIMATE VIP CASHWORD
#1582
$10 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 35
59.5%
Return to Player
95%
Maturity
0/8
Top Prizes Left
1 in 45
Current Odds
25,351,200
Total Tickets
23,993,152 (94.6%)
Tickets Sold
50%
Depletion Rate
—
Jackpot 30d
59.5%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
Ultimate VIP CASHWORD at $10 has a strong expected value of 59.6% and good health score of 35.5, indicating potential value but with limited top prizes remaining. DATA: {"buy_signal":"maybe","key_risk":"low remaining top prizes","key_opportunity":"above-average EV"} CONFIDENCE: medium (14 days of snapshot history)
Confidence: Medium
(14 days of snapshot history)
Tickets Status
25,351,200 total
Prize Distribution
12 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 59.5%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,000,000 | 1 in 3,168,870 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
|
| $100,000 | 1 in 1,056,290 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 24,098 | 1,052 | 45 | 1,007 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 4,126 | 6,144 | 255 | 5,889 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 1,503 | 16,871 | 550 | 16,321 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 1,200 | 21,134 | 752 | 20,382 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 71 | 354,999 | 12,668 | 342,331 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 171 | 147,826 | 6,363 | 141,463 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 109 | 232,232 | 8,030 | 224,202 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 63 | 401,361 | 14,531 | 386,830 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 12 | 2,112,405 | 91,285 | 2,021,120 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 6 | 4,225,612 | 268,344 | 3,957,268 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 25,351,200 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 3.00 |
| Effective Date | Dec 9, 2024 |
Recommendations
Compliance Alert
Implied RTP 59.5% < 70% — near retirement; End-of-life: maturity 94.6% with 0 top prizes remaining
Optimal Buy Window:
42.3% - 85.1% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.5951), which positively contributes 59.5 points. The second driver is health_score (contribution: 10.6). Analysis is based on a $10 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.595 | +59.5 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Health Score | 35.400 | +10.6 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Implied Rtp | 0.595 | +7.6 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Maturity Stage | 0.946 | +1.1 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.010 | +0.4 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.000 | +0.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $10 Price Bucket
0.744
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.946
This Game's Maturity
0.95 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.621
Median: 0.836
Q3: 0.933
Skew: -0.82
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 0.0 | -77.2 | 77.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 13.0 | -26.8 | 52.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 6.0 | -36.4 | 48.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 19.0 | -38.0 | 76.1 | ±57.0 | 200 |