THE CASH WHEEL
#5059
$5 Ticket
Active
Fair
Health: 53
73.1%
Return to Player
68%
Maturity
2/6
Top Prizes Left
1 in 10
Current Odds
17,778,600
Total Tickets
12,056,254 (67.8%)
Tickets Sold
—
Depletion Rate
20%
Jackpot 30d
73.1%
Implied RTP
AI Game Summary
Oct 14, 2026
THE CASH WHEEL $5 scratch-off offers above-average expected value and fair health score, with two top prizes remaining. Peer ranking shows moderate competition among $5 tickets.
Confidence: Medium
(15 days of snapshot history)
Tickets Status
17,778,600 total
Prize Distribution
14 tiers
RTP History (Last 91 Days)
Current: 73.1%
Prize Tier Details
View Predictions
| Prize | Odds | Total | Remaining | Claimed | Progress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 2,963,170 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
|
| $10,000 | 1 in 216,817 | 82 | 30 | 52 |
|
| $5,000 | 1 in 59,263 | 300 | 112 | 188 |
|
| $1,000 | 1 in 9,260 | 1,920 | 620 | 1,300 |
|
| $500 | 1 in 8,081 | 2,200 | 676 | 1,524 |
|
| $200 | 1 in 690 | 25,752 | 7,935 | 17,817 |
|
| $100 | 1 in 339 | 52,380 | 16,236 | 36,144 |
|
| $50 | 1 in 375 | 47,376 | 14,653 | 32,723 |
|
| $40 | 1 in 360 | 49,390 | 15,394 | 33,996 |
|
| $30 | 1 in 300 | 59,241 | 18,567 | 40,674 |
|
| $20 | 1 in 50 | 355,546 | 111,723 | 243,823 |
|
| $15 | 1 in 50 | 355,471 | 112,813 | 242,658 |
|
| $10 | 1 in 17 | 1,067,207 | 341,882 | 725,325 |
|
| $6 | 1 in 8 | 2,370,223 | 771,418 | 1,598,805 |
|
Game Rules (FL Emergency Rules)
| Total Tickets | 17,778,600 |
| Launch Odds | 1 in 4.00 |
| Effective Date | Aug 12, 2024 |
Recommendations
Optimal Buy Window:
41.5% - 85.6% sell-through
(best time to purchase)
Advanced Analysis
Bulk Ticket Odds Calculator
Monte Carlo Simulation
Why This Score?
The most influential factor is ev (value: 0.7307), which positively contributes 73.1 points. The second driver is implied_rtp (contribution: 18.5). Analysis is based on a $5 ticket price.
| Factor | Current Value | Contribution | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ev | 0.731 | +73.1 | Expected value per dollar: primary driver of value-player score |
| Implied Rtp | 0.731 | +18.5 | Implied return-to-player relative to 50 % breakeven |
| Health Score | 53.100 | +15.9 | Composite game health (EV trend, depletion, prize quality) |
| Jackpot Prob 30d | 0.200 | +10.0 | 30-day probability that at least one jackpot prize is claimed |
| Maturity Stage | 0.678 | +6.4 | Lifecycle position: early-stage scratch_games score higher for value strategy |
| Prize Quality | 2.960 | +0.6 | Weighted quality of remaining prize tiers |
| Overdue Jackpot | 0.000 | +0.0 | Statistical overdue-jackpot signal (expected − actual claims) |
vs. $5 Price Bucket
0.746
Bucket Avg First-Claim ST
0.678
This Game's Maturity
-0.31 σ
typical for bucket
Z-Score vs Bucket
Q1: 0.654
Median: 0.854
Q3: 0.921
Skew: -1.34
Model Prediction Confidence Intervals
| Model | Predicted | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper | Margin (±) | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 5.0 | -72.2 | 82.2 | ±77.2 | 200 |
| Sharpe | 46.0 | 6.2 | 85.8 | ±39.8 | 200 |
| Bayesian | 27.0 | -15.4 | 69.4 | ±42.4 | 200 |
| Markov | 0.0 | -99.9 | 99.9 | ±99.9 | 200 |
| Ev | 46.2 | -10.9 | 103.2 | ±57.0 | 200 |